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Aguilas FC vs Real Madrid B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Abenza M.
9'
Cestero Sancho J.
11' Event
Castedo J.
Assist: Raigal J.

AI Match Summary

Aguilas FC in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguilas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aguilas FC
35%
Draws
32%
Real Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aguilas FC have won more games recently than Real Madrid B.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 20%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas FC Real Madrid B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Aguilas FC vs Real Madrid B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Castedo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Madrid B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas FC 32 / 100
Real Madrid B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas FC Real Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Real Madrid B has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Aguilas FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas FC VS Real Madrid B
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Huesca
03 Oct
FC Cartagena SAD
4 : 1
Aguilas FC
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Algeciras
1 : 1
Aguilas FC
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid B

(Away)
09 Oct
UD Ibiza
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
23 Sept
Sant Andreu
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
3 Alcorcon 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
4 FC Cartagena SAD 7 3 3 1 10:5 12
5 Jaen 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
7 Antequera 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Huesca 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
9 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
10 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
11 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
17 Teruel 7 1 2 4 3:12 5
18 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
19 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
20 Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 8:18 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)