Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahal vs FC Asgabat

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Asgabat in this Yokary Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Asgabat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ahal
11%
Draws
9%
FC Asgabat
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ahal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Asgabat haven't matched Ahal's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ahal taking it.
  • Regular Yokary Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ahal Clean Sheet 20%
FC Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahal FC Asgabat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs FC Asgabat
4:3
May 10, 2026 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Ahal
0:3
Dec 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs FC Asgabat
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Yokary Liga
FC Asgabat vs Ahal
1:1
May 13, 2025 Yokary Liga
Ahal vs FC Asgabat
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahal 76 / 100
FC Asgabat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahal FC Asgabat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahal scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

FC Asgabat has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ahal stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahal VS FC Asgabat
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahal

(Home)
20 Jun
Ahal
4 : 3
FC Asgabat
13 Jun
Nebitci
0 : 4
Ahal
07 Jun
Ahal
1 : 0
Sagadam
31 May
Altyn Asyr
3 : 3
Ahal
24 May
Merw
1 : 3
Ahal
Page 1 of 6

FC Asgabat

(Away)
20 Jun
Ahal
4 : 3
FC Asgabat
13 Jun
FC Asgabat
1 : 7
Arkadag
07 Jun
Kopetdag Asgabat
3 : 1
FC Asgabat
30 May
FC Asgabat
5 : 1
Merw
24 May
FC Asgabat
1 : 0
Nebitci
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arkadag282800105:1584
2Ahal28174754:2655
3Altyn Asyr28165754:3553
4Sagadam28127932:3243
5Nebitci28961322:4133
6FC Asgabat28731823:5424
7Kopetdag Asgabat28352021:7214
8Merw28262016:5212
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)