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AHFC Royals vs Houston FC

USA USA

USL League Two
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AHFC Royals play Houston FC in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, AHFC Royals averaged 2.41 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Houston FC averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, AHFC Royals won 2, Houston FC won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for AHFC Royals and 1.69 for Houston FC. This points to a AHFC Royals double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
AHFC Royals
35%
Draws
23%
Houston FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AHFC Royals

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • AHFC Royals picked up more points recently compared to Houston FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
AHFC Royals Clean Sheet 13%
Houston FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AHFC Royals Houston FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.41 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 USL League Two
Houston FC vs AHFC Royals
1:1
Jun 2, 2025 USL League Two
Houston FC vs AHFC Royals
0:2
May 25, 2025 USL League Two
AHFC Royals vs Houston FC
1:1
Jul 10, 2024 USL League Two
Houston FC vs AHFC Royals
0:1
May 27, 2024 USL League Two
AHFC Royals vs Houston FC
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AHFC Royals 40 / 100
Houston FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AHFC Royals Houston FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AHFC Royals or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AHFC Royals attacking → ← attacking Houston FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AHFC Royals scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Houston FC let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

AHFC Royals went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Houston FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 32
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50