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Stadium Background

Ahlafors vs Herrestads AIF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Akerman O.
18' Event
Zetterlund J.
53' Event
Akerman O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Ahlafors and Herrestads AIF finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ahlafors
20%
Draws
40%
Herrestads AIF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Herrestads AIF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ahlafors taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 16%
Herrestads AIF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Herrestads AIF
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Herrestads AIF
5:0
Oct 4, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Ahlafors
4:0
Apr 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Herrestads AIF
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Herrestads AIF
2:1
May 17, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Ahlafors
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerman O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Zetterlund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Herrestads AIF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 48 / 100
Herrestads AIF 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Herrestads AIF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Herrestads AIF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Ahlafors has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Herrestads AIF
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Lidkoping
2 : 2
Ahlafors
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1
Grebbestad
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Herrestads AIF

(Away)
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
13 Sept
Lidkoping
2 : 1
Herrestads AIF
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 21 14 5 2 46:22 47
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 21 10 7 4 47:24 37
5 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
6 Grebbestad 21 10 3 8 36:31 33
7 Vanersborgs FK 21 8 4 9 28:34 28
8 Stenungsunds IF 21 7 6 8 35:29 27
9 Motala 21 5 8 8 28:29 23
10 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
11 Lidkoping 21 5 6 10 23:39 21
12 Tord 21 2 9 10 23:36 15
13 Karlstad II 21 2 7 12 23:41 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 21 2 3 16 21:58 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)