Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahlafors vs IF Haga

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Wadensten J.
45' Event
Wadensten J.
54' Event
Ahlm T. G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 game between Ahlafors and IF Haga finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahlafors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ahlafors
15%
Draws
26%
IF Haga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • IF Haga haven't matched Ahlafors's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Ahlafors taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 20%
IF Haga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors IF Haga
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs IF Haga
6:2
Apr 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IF Haga vs Ahlafors
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Wadensten J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jerkersson F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

IF Haga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahlm T. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nkuru Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 85 / 100
IF Haga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors IF Haga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: IF Haga conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Ahlafors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
Page 1 of 7

IF Haga

(Away)
18 Oct
IF Haga
0 : 2
Lidkoping
11 Oct
Skara
2 : 1
IF Haga
04 Oct
IF Haga
1 : 1
Motala
27 Sept
Grebbestad
2 : 3
IF Haga
20 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
2 : 0
IF Haga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FBK Karlstad 26 16 4 6 62:29 52
2 Motala 26 15 6 5 58:35 51
3 Herrestads AIF 26 12 8 6 51:27 44
4 Lidkoping 26 12 8 6 38:25 44
5 Ahlafors 26 10 10 6 41:37 40
6 Kongahalla 26 10 7 9 57:42 37
7 Skara 26 10 4 12 40:48 34
8 Grebbestad 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
9 Vanersborgs IF 26 7 10 9 44:50 31
10 Vanersborgs FK 26 8 7 11 26:37 31
11 Tord 26 7 9 10 32:39 30
12 Kumla 26 8 6 12 34:52 30
13 IF Haga 26 6 5 15 26:54 23
14 Tidaholms 26 4 7 15 27:54 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)