Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahlafors vs IFK Skovde

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Akerman O.
30' Event
Salihovic E.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Abraham S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Ahlafors and IFK Skovde finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Skovde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ahlafors
15%
Draws
45%
IFK Skovde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • IFK Skovde have managed 1.64 goals a game lately — Ahlafors are scoring more at 1.97.
  • Ahlafors are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 20%
IFK Skovde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors IFK Skovde
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Ahlafors
0:0
May 1, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs IFK Skovde
2:3
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Ahlafors
2:1
Apr 12, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs IFK Skovde
3:2
Aug 4, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Ahlafors
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Akerman O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

IFK Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Abraham S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Klebe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 76 / 100
IFK Skovde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors IFK Skovde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahlafors found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: IFK Skovde conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Ahlafors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS IFK Skovde
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
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IFK Skovde

(Away)
18 Sept
Husqvarna
1 : 0
IFK Skovde
12 Sept
IFK Skovde
1 : 0
Tord
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
30 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Motala
21 Aug
Vanersborgs FK
0 : 1
IFK Skovde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 22 18 3 1 51:17 57
2 Skara 22 15 5 2 47:22 50
3 IFK Skovde 22 12 5 5 38:25 41
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 22 11 3 8 39:32 36
6 Herrestads AIF 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 22 8 6 8 37:29 30
8 Vanersborgs FK 22 8 4 10 29:36 28
9 Lidkoping 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
10 Motala 22 5 8 9 29:32 23
11 Kumla 22 5 7 10 21:39 22
12 Tord 22 3 9 10 25:37 18
13 Karlstad II 22 2 7 13 23:43 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)