Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs FK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zetterlund J.
90' Event
Vukaj K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ahlafors
6%
Draws
4%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ahlafors lately — more wins on the board than Vanersborgs FK.
  • Ahlafors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 19%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs FK
1:1
Sep 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Ahlafors
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs FK
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs FK
1:0
May 3, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Ahlafors
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Zetterlund J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukaj K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 85 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Vanersborgs FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ahlafors scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Ahlafors went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vanersborgs FK let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Vanersborgs FK
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408