Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs FK Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Zetterlund J.
90' Event
Vukaj K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ahlafors
15%
Draws
34%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlafors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ahlafors lately — more wins on the board than Vanersborgs FK.
  • Ahlafors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ahlafors Clean Sheet 20%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahlafors Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Ahlafors
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs FK
1:1
Sep 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Ahlafors
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs FK
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Ahlafors vs Vanersborgs FK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahlafors Compare

Top Goalscorer Zetterlund J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukaj K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahlafors 85 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahlafors Vanersborgs FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ahlafors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ahlafors scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Vanersborgs FK let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Ahlafors went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vanersborgs FK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahlafors VS Vanersborgs FK
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahlafors

(Home)
04 Oct
Ahlafors
6 : 2
Motala
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2
Ahlafors
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
13 Sept
Ahlafors
2 : 0
Husqvarna
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

Vanersborgs FK

(Away)
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 24 20 3 1 58:18 63
2 Skara 24 16 5 3 51:26 53
3 IFK Skovde 24 14 5 5 42:25 47
4 Ahlafors 24 12 7 5 55:28 43
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 24 9 6 9 42:33 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 24 8 4 12 30:40 28
9 Lidkoping 24 7 6 11 29:42 27
10 Motala 24 6 8 10 35:38 26
11 Kumla 24 6 7 11 23:42 25
12 Tord 24 4 9 11 29:43 21
13 Karlstad II 24 2 7 15 24:47 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 24 2 3 19 24:69 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)