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Ahli Khartoum vs Al Mourada

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ahli Khartoum play Al Mourada in the Premier League 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ahli Khartoum averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Al Mourada averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Ahli Khartoum won 1, Al Mourada won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Jun 27, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Ahli Khartoum and 1.19 for Al Mourada. This points to a Ahli Khartoum double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ahli Khartoum
17%
Draws
70%
Al Mourada
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Mourada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ahli Khartoum has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Mourada.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Al Mourada.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League 2018/2019 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahli Khartoum Al Mourada
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 14 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2019 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Al Mourada
0:0
Mar 6, 2019 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Ahli Khartoum
0:0
Jan 2, 2019 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Al Mourada
1:1
Sep 3, 2013 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Ahli Khartoum
1:2
Mar 5, 2013 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Al Mourada
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahli Khartoum 16 / 100
Al Mourada 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahli Khartoum Al Mourada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahli Khartoum scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Al Mourada let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ahli Khartoum went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Mourada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ahli Khartoum VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ahli Khartoum73317:512
2Hay al-Arab73229:911
3Al Hilal Kadougli72419:710
4Alamal SC Atbara73139:810
5Rabita Kosti72325:59
6Al-Ahly Merowe71516:68
7Al Mourada71333:66
8Wad Hashim Sennar71335:76