Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025 game between Ahli Khartoum and Alfalah Atbra finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ahli Khartoum.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ahli Khartoum
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Alfalah Atbra haven't matched Ahli Khartoum's recent run of results.
- Ahli Khartoum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 17%
Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ahli Khartoum | Alfalah Atbra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.43 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2025 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alfalah Atbra
3:2
Jan 29, 2025 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Ahli Khartoum
2:2
Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Ahli Khartoum
0:0
Oct 12, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alfalah Atbra
1:0
Sep 19, 2020 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alfalah Atbra
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ahli Khartoum 84 / 100
Alfalah Atbra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ahli Khartoum Alfalah Atbra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: Alfalah Atbra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Ahli Khartoum scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Alfalah Atbra has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ahli Khartoum VS Alfalah Atbra
1 Goals Scored 0.38
2.43 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 38%
57% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ahli Khartoum
(Home) 13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1 Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
03 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4 Madani
Page 1 of 6
13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1 Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
03 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4 Madani
Page 1 of 4
Alfalah Atbra
(Away) 09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
06 Jun
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 3 Hay Al Wadi
02 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
3 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
29 May
Al-Merreikh II
6 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
24 May
Madani
2 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
02 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
3 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
29 May
Al-Merreikh II
6 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
24 May
Madani
2 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
04 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0 Alfalah Atbra
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Mergheni | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Hay al-Arab | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 6 | Wad Nobawi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 2 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Merikh Nyala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hay Al Wadi | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Kober | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Zoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Tuti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Alamal SC Atbara | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ahli Khartoum | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 4 | Alfalah Atbra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Ahli Shendi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2:7 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)