Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Ahli Khartoum and Umm Mughad finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umm Mughad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Mughad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ahli Khartoum haven't matched Umm Mughad's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 10%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ahli Khartoum | Umm Mughad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 23 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2026 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Umm Mughad
0:2
Jan 20, 2026 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Ahli Khartoum
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ahli Khartoum 34 / 100
Umm Mughad 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ahli Khartoum Umm Mughad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Umm Mughad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ahli Khartoum's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Umm Mughad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 23 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: Umm Mughad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ahli Khartoum VS Umm Mughad
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ahli Khartoum
(Home) 13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1 Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4 Madani
Page 1 of 7
13 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 1 Al Hilal Manaqil
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
06 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 5 Merikh Kosti
01 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 0 Rabita Kosti
27 Jan
Ahli Khartoum
1 : 4 Madani
Page 1 of 4
Umm Mughad
(Away) 09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 5
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
20 May
Al-Merreikh II
5 : 2 Umm Mughad
13 Feb
Merikh Kosti
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
09 Feb
Ahli Khartoum
0 : 2 Umm Mughad
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Taqadom | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Al-Mergheni | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 6 | Kober | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Ahli Khartoum | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 6 | Merikh Kosti | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh II | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Alfalah Atbra | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Saham Ad Damer | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Karima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 5 | Alamal SC Atbara | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Hay Al Wadi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Fajr | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 5 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:20 | 10 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
