Sport Picks

Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023

Al-Merreikh

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ahli Shendi play Al-Merreikh in the Premier League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ahli Shendi averaged 0.43 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Al-Merreikh averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Ahli Shendi won 0, Al-Merreikh won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 19, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ahli Shendi and 1.00 for Al-Merreikh. This points to a Al-Merreikh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Ahli Shendi

40%

Draws

30%

Al-Merreikh

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Al-Merreikh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Ahli Shendi picked up more points recently compared to Al-Merreikh.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 51%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 18%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Ahli Shendi Clean Sheet 23%

Al-Merreikh Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 46%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ahli Shendi	Al-Merreikh
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	5	14
Draws	8	11
Losses	15	5
Goals Scored	0.43	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.07	0.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Premier League

Ahli Shendi vs Al-Merreikh

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

Nov 4, 2022 Premier League

Al-Merreikh vs Ahli Shendi

Possession: 60% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Jul 12, 2022 Premier League

Ahli Shendi vs Al-Merreikh

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Apr 7, 2022 Premier League

Al-Merreikh vs Ahli Shendi

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Jul 8, 2021 Premier League

Ahli Shendi vs Al-Merreikh

Possession: 46% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahli Shendi 32 / 100

Al-Merreikh 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ahli Shendi Al-Merreikh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al-Merreikh or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +25.1%

4.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ahli Shendi attacking → ← attacking Al-Merreikh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ahli Shendi scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Al-Merreikh let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Ahli Shendi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al-Merreikh lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 53

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	20	17	2	1	55:12	53
2	Al-Merreikh	19	15	3	1	33:8	48
3	Hay al-Arab	26	14	6	6	39:26	48
4	Haidob Al Nuhod	28	13	6	9	32:26	45
5	Ahli Khartoum	28	10	9	9	35:29	39
6	Hilal El-Fasher	29	10	8	11	31:31	38
7	Hay Al Wadi	24	10	8	6	29:27	38
8	Alamal SC Atbara	26	10	5	11	24:28	35
9	Al Shorta	27	10	5	12	28:34	35
10	Kober	29	9	8	12	32:37	35
11	Hilal Alsahil	26	8	10	8	25:28	34
12	Wad Nobawi	27	6	14	7	20:24	32
13	Alfalah Atbra	25	6	11	8	21:19	29
14	Ahli Shendi	26	7	7	12	14:26	28
15	Tuti	27	7	6	14	26:38	27
16	Al-Ahly Merowe	27	4	13	10	19:36	25
17	Al Zoma	28	4	10	14	22:40	22
18	Rabita Kosti	26	5	7	14	16:32	22