Sport Picks
Ahly Sfaxien vs Union Ksibet Mediouni
Tunisia
Tunisia Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
14'
14'
Daami A.
76'
76'
Achich O.
88'
88'
Ghorbal S.
AI Match Summary
Ahly Sfaxien in this Tunisia Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ahly Sfaxien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ahly Sfaxien have won more games recently than Union Ksibet Mediouni.
- Model gives Ahly Sfaxien a 90% chance of winning this.
- Ahly Sfaxien have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ahly Sfaxien, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ahly Sfaxien Clean Sheet 20%
Union Ksibet Mediouni Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ahly Sfaxien | Union Ksibet Mediouni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 6 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.71 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Ahly Sfaxien vs Union Ksibet Mediouni
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ahly Sfaxien Compare
Top Goalscorer Achich O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ghorbal S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Union Ksibet Mediouni Compare
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ahly Sfaxien 85 / 100
Union Ksibet Mediouni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ahly Sfaxien Union Ksibet Mediouni
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AHL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Ksibet Mediouni let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Ahly Sfaxien has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Union Ksibet Mediouni lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ahly Sfaxien VS Union Ksibet Mediouni
0.75 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.71
38% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Ahly Sfaxien
(Home) 26 Mar
Ahly Sfaxien
1 : 1 Kerkennah
18 May
Ahly Sfaxien
0 : 1 Etoile Sahel
20 Apr
Ahly Sfaxien
3 : 0 Union Ksibet Mediouni
25 Feb
Hammam Djerid
0 : 1 Ahly Sfaxien
22 May
Ahly Sfaxien
0 : 1 Zarzis
Page 1 of 2
26 Mar
Ahly Sfaxien
1 : 1 Kerkennah
18 May
Ahly Sfaxien
0 : 1 Etoile Sahel
20 Apr
Ahly Sfaxien
3 : 0 Union Ksibet Mediouni
22 May
Ahly Sfaxien
0 : 1 Zarzis
05 Jan
Ahly Sfaxien
0 : 1 WS Hamma
Page 1 of 2
Union Ksibet Mediouni
(Away) 20 Apr
Ahly Sfaxien
3 : 0 Union Ksibet Mediouni
25 Feb
Union Ksibet Mediouni
1 : 0 Kalaa
27 Jan
Gafsa
2 : 1 Union Ksibet Mediouni
22 May
Bembla
2 : 1 Union Ksibet Mediouni
20 Nov
Union Ksibet Mediouni
0 : 2 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 2
20 Apr
Ahly Sfaxien
3 : 0 Union Ksibet Mediouni
27 Jan
Gafsa
2 : 1 Union Ksibet Mediouni
22 May
Bembla
2 : 1 Union Ksibet Mediouni
13 May
Espoir Bouchama
3 : 1 Union Ksibet Mediouni
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Menzel Kamel-
TBD-
TBD-
Menzel Jemil-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympique Beja-
CO Medenine0
Chebba1
TBD-
CS Takelsa-
ES Jerba-
TBD-
TBD-
Ksour Essef-
Kerkennah2
Jendouba Sport1
Sidi Bouzid2
Msaken0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Esperance Tunis-
CS Sfaxien-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AS Marsa-
Hammam Djerid-
TBD-
TBD-
Ahly Sfaxien-
Union Ksibet Mediouni-
TBD-
Kalaa3
Ariana2
Etoile Sahel-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bouchamma-
TBD-
TBD-
Sfax Railways-
Ajim Djerba-
TBD-
TBD-
AS Hamma-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gafsa-
JS Kairouan-
TBD-
Rejiche0
Zarzis1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stade Tunisien-
PS Sakiet Eddaier-
TBD-
TBD-
Bousalem-
Boumerdes-
TBD-
TBD-
Tazarka-
AS Mohamdia-
TBD-
TBD-
CO Transports-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
CA Bizertin-
Hammam-Lif2
Rades1
TBD-
Moknine-
Ain Jalloula-
TBD-
Hamam-Sousse1
Sporting Ben Arous2
Jeunesse Sportive2
Oued Ellil0
TBD-
Ouerdanine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
US Tataouine-
Metlaoui-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monastir-
Soliman-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Degueche-
TBD-
EM Mahdia1
AS Gabes2
JS Manouba-
TBD-
Korba3
Djelma0
Alaouite-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Mdhilla-
Ben Guerdane-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Africain-
1/32-finals
Menzel Kamel1
Menzel Jemil0
TBD-
Olympique Beja-
Chebba2
CS Takelsa1
ES Jerba1
Ksour Essef0
Kerkennah2
Sidi Bouzid1
TBD-
Esperance Tunis-
CS Sfaxien-
TBD-
TBD-
AS Marsa-
Hammam Djerid0
Ahly Sfaxien1
Union Ksibet Mediouni1
Kalaa0
Etoile Sahel-
TBD-
Bouchamma4
Sfax Railways1
Ajim Djerba1
AS Hamma2
TBD-
Gafsa-
JS Kairouan0
Zarzis1
TBD-
Stade Tunisien-
PS Sakiet Eddaier1
Bousalem0
Boumerdes0
Tazarka1
AS Mohamdia2
CO Transports1
TBD-
CA Bizertin-
Hammam-Lif1
Moknine2
Ain Jalloula0
Sporting Ben Arous1
Jeunesse Sportive5
Ouerdanine0
TBD-
US Tataouine-
Metlaoui-
TBD-
TBD-
Monastir-
Soliman-
TBD-
Degueche1
AS Gabes2
JS Manouba1
Korba2
Alaouite2
FC Mdhilla1
Ben Guerdane-
TBD-
TBD-
Club Africain-
1/16-finals
Menzel Kamel1
Olympique Beja3
Chebba0
ES Jerba1
Kerkennah2
Esperance Tunis1
CS Sfaxien0
AS Marsa1
Ahly Sfaxien3
Union Ksibet Mediouni0
Etoile Sahel1
Bouchamma0
AS Hamma0
Gafsa1
Zarzis0
Stade Tunisien3
PS Sakiet Eddaier1
Tazarka0
AS Mohamdia1
CA Bizertin2
Moknine2
Sporting Ben Arous4
Jeunesse Sportive1
US Tataouine0
Metlaoui2
Monastir3
Soliman0
AS Gabes2
Korba3
Alaouite0
Ben Guerdane1
Club Africain2
1/8-finals
Olympique Beja2
ES Jerba1
Kerkennah0
AS Marsa2
Ahly Sfaxien0
Etoile Sahel1
Gafsa1
Stade Tunisien6
PS Sakiet Eddaier1
CA Bizertin2
Sporting Ben Arous3
Jeunesse Sportive2
Monastir2
AS Gabes0
Korba1
Club Africain2
Quarter-finals
Olympique Beja3
AS Marsa2
Etoile Sahel2
Stade Tunisien4
CA Bizertin1
Sporting Ben Arous0
Monastir1
Club Africain2
Semi-finals
Olympique Beja1
Stade Tunisien4
CA Bizertin2
Club Africain1
Final
Stade Tunisien2
CA Bizertin0
