Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ahrensfelde vs Rathenow

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rogero J.
50' Event
Schulte F.
86' Event
Rogero J.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 game between Ahrensfelde and Rathenow finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ahrensfelde
20%
Draws
64%
Rathenow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rathenow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Rathenow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rathenow a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ahrensfelde Clean Sheet 19%
Rathenow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ahrensfelde Rathenow
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.08
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Ahrensfelde vs Rathenow
2:2
Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Rathenow vs Ahrensfelde
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ahrensfelde Compare

Top Goalscorer Schulte F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eirich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Rathenow Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogero J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ahrensfelde 10 / 100
Rathenow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ahrensfelde Rathenow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathenow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathenow has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Ahrensfelde's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Rathenow has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rathenow
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ahrensfelde

(Home)
26 Jul
Lichtenberg
3 : 1
Ahrensfelde
16 Jul
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Ahrensfelde
13 Jul
Ahrensfelde
0 : 5
Union Berlin
31 May
Ahrensfelde
2 : 2
Rathenow
24 May
Dynamo Schwerin
4 : 0
Ahrensfelde
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Rathenow

(Away)
28 Aug
Rathenow
2 : 1
TSG Neustrelitz
15 Aug
Mahlsdorf
1 : 0
Rathenow
08 Aug
Rathenow
0 : 0
Berliner AK 07
18 Jul
Rathenow
0 : 3
Ludwigsfelder
15 Jul
Rathenow
1 : 3
Brandenburger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BFC Preussen 30 20 7 3 77:22 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 20 6 4 88:28 66
3 Mahlsdorf 30 20 6 4 82:32 66
4 Hansa Rostock II 30 19 3 8 96:46 60
5 TUS Makkabi 30 13 9 8 60:41 48
6 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 14 6 10 76:66 48
7 TSG Neustrelitz 30 13 6 11 56:48 45
8 Berliner AK 07 30 12 8 10 50:37 44
9 TB Berlin 30 13 3 14 74:71 42
10 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 12 4 14 51:51 40
11 Dynamo Schwerin 30 11 3 16 51:68 36
12 Wismar 30 10 5 15 55:68 35
13 Rathenow 30 7 9 14 46:57 30
14 SC Staaken 30 9 2 19 48:73 29
15 Ahrensfelde 30 5 7 18 46:75 22
16 Rostocker FC 30 0 0 30 10:183 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)