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Aigle Noir vs Royal Vision - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aigle Noir host Royal Vision in the Primus League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Aigle Noir at 1.61 goals for, 1 against; Royal Vision at 1.59 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Aigle Noir have won 2 to Royal Vision's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.56) point toward Aigle Noir. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Aigle Noir
15%
Draws
58%
Royal Vision
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Royal Vision

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aigle Noir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Royal Vision taking it.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 15%
Royal Vision Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aigle Noir Royal Vision
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 18 15
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.59
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primus League
Royal Vision vs Aigle Noir
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Royal Vision
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primus League
Royal Vision vs Aigle Noir
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Royal Vision
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aigle Noir 10 / 100
Royal Vision 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aigle Noir Royal Vision

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Royal Vision Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aigle Noir scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Royal Vision conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Aigle Noir has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aigle Noir VS Royal Vision
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aigle Noir

(Home)
03 Oct
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Ngozi City
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
Page 1 of 7

Royal Vision

(Away)
04 Oct
Royal Vision
5 : 0
Vital'O
19 Sept
Young Star
1 : 5
Royal Vision
29 Aug
Royal Vision
2 : 1
Flambeau du Centre
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
15 Aug
Royal Vision
2 : 1
Musongati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Muzinga 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
3 Aigle Noir 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
4 Le Messager Ngozi 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
5 Ngozi City 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
6 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 9:1 8
7 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 7:10 8
8 Olympic Star 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
9 Flambeau du Centre 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Kayanza United 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
11 Bumamuru 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
12 Never Give Up Academy 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
13 Musongati 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Panthere Noir 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
16 Young Star 5 0 1 4 2:16 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)