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Aiglon Lamentin vs Espoir

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Aiglon Lamentin and Espoir finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aiglon Lamentin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aiglon Lamentin
15%
Draws
28%
Espoir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aiglon Lamentin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Aiglon Lamentin's 1.39 goals per match outpaces what Espoir have produced (1.2).
  • Model gives Aiglon Lamentin a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aiglon Lamentin Clean Sheet 16%
Espoir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aiglon Lamentin Espoir
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.39 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs Espoir
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Espoir vs Aiglon Lamentin
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Aiglon Lamentin vs Espoir
1:1
Nov 13, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Espoir vs Aiglon Lamentin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aiglon Lamentin 84 / 100
Espoir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aiglon Lamentin Espoir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aiglon Lamentin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aiglon Lamentin's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Espoir has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Aiglon Lamentin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aiglon Lamentin VS Espoir
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aiglon Lamentin

(Home)
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Aiglon Lamentin
2 : 0
Robert
16 May
Golden Lion
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
09 May
Aiglon Lamentin
5 : 2
Emulation
25 Apr
Franciscain
3 : 0
Aiglon Lamentin
Page 1 of 7

Espoir

(Away)
06 Jun
Emulation
4 : 1
Espoir
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Golden Star
3 : 1
Espoir
09 May
Espoir
2 : 0
Morne des Esses
30 Apr
Club Colonial
0 : 1
Espoir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)