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Stadium Background

AIK vs Elfsborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AIK host Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Elfsborg have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while AIK have conceded 1.76 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor AIK slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.94, favoring Elfsborg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
AIK
20%
Draws
65%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elfsborg lately — more wins on the board than AIK.
  • Win probability leans Elfsborg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AIK Clean Sheet 10%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Elfsborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs AIK
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs AIK
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs AIK
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Elfsborg
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Elfsborg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 10 / 100
Elfsborg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Elfsborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AIK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Elfsborg
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
10 Oct
AIK
5 : 6
Brommapojkarna
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
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Elfsborg

(Away)
12 Oct
Elfsborg
4 : 0
Halmstad
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 23 17 3 3 53:28 54
2 Djurgarden 23 14 2 7 48:21 44
3 Hammarby 23 13 4 6 49:21 43
4 Elfsborg 23 11 7 5 35:22 40
5 Hacken 23 10 9 4 42:30 39
6 Malmo FF 23 11 3 9 38:33 36
7 Vasteras SK 23 10 5 8 34:36 35
8 IFK Goteborg 23 10 5 8 32:41 35
9 AIK 23 9 6 8 36:40 33
10 GAIS 23 8 6 9 28:21 30
11 Brommapojkarna 23 8 6 9 36:41 30
12 Mjallby 23 5 8 10 28:39 23
13 Degerfors 23 5 5 13 20:35 20
14 Kalmar 23 5 4 14 21:37 19
15 Orgryte 23 3 6 14 25:52 15
16 Halmstad 23 3 5 15 16:44 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)