Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AIK vs Hammarby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AIK host Hammarby in the Allsvenskan. Little to choose between these two on current form. AIK have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Hammarby's 2.38 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor AIK slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.38) point toward Hammarby. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AIK
20%
Draws
33%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby lately — more wins on the board than AIK.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AIK Clean Sheet 17%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Hammarby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.69 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs AIK
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs AIK
2:1
May 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Hammarby
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Hammarby
1:0
May 19, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs AIK
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 36 / 100
Hammarby 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hammarby conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AIK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Hammarby
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3
AIK
16 Aug
Djurgarden
1 : 3
AIK
08 Aug
Orgryte
3 : 4
AIK
02 Aug
AIK
0 : 3
Orgryte
27 Jul
Hacken
0 : 0
AIK
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Hammarby

(Away)
16 Aug
Kalmar
0 : 4
Hammarby
13 Aug
Hammarby
0 : 1
Rakow Czestochowa
09 Aug
Hammarby
3 : 0
Hacken
06 Aug
Rakow Czestochowa
0 : 0
Hammarby
30 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 1
Hammarby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 18 13 3 2 47:26 42
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 40:15 33
3 Hacken 18 8 7 3 32:26 31
4 AIK 17 8 4 5 25:25 28
5 Elfsborg 17 7 6 4 24:18 27
6 Djurgarden 16 8 2 6 34:19 26
7 Malmo FF 17 8 2 7 32:27 26
8 Vasteras SK 17 7 4 6 25:32 25
9 GAIS 17 6 5 6 21:16 23
10 Brommapojkarna 17 5 6 6 25:27 21
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 24:23 20
12 IFK Goteborg 17 5 4 8 22:38 19
13 Kalmar 17 5 3 9 21:28 18
14 Degerfors 17 4 4 9 17:27 16
15 Orgryte 17 3 4 10 21:40 13
16 Halmstad 17 1 4 12 11:34 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)