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AIK vs Hammarby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Olofsson W.
14' Event
Adjei F.
15' Event
Carlstrand L.
Assist: Filling K.

AI Match Summary

AIK in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AIK
30%
Draws
47%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hammarby lately — more wins on the board than AIK.
  • Model gives Hammarby a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AIK Clean Sheet 12%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Hammarby
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Hammarby
3:2
May 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs AIK
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs AIK
2:1
May 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Hammarby
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Hammarby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlstrand L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouame A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Adjei F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abraham P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 22 / 100
Hammarby 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hammarby conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AIK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Hammarby
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
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Hammarby

(Away)
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)