Sport Picks

Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna

AIK

1 - 0

Kalmar

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Pavey C.

26'

Hove J.

(Penalty)

28'

Sub

Besirovic D. In: Csongvai A.

Out: Besirovic D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between AIK and Kalmar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

AIK

40%

Draws

29%

Kalmar

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

AIK carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

AIK Clean Sheet 14%

Kalmar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AIK	Kalmar
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	12	11
Draws	6	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Club Friendly

AIK vs Kalmar

0:2

Apr 19, 2026 Allsvenskan

AIK vs Kalmar

1:0

Sep 21, 2024 Allsvenskan

Kalmar vs AIK

0:1

Jul 7, 2024 Allsvenskan

AIK vs Kalmar

1:2

Mar 3, 2024 Svenska Cupen

Kalmar vs AIK

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 31 / 100

Kalmar 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AIK Kalmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kalmar conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

AIK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Kalmar

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)

18 Jul

AIK

2 : 0

GAIS

11 Jul

Mjallby

1 : 2

AIK

05 Jul

IFK Goteborg

1 : 2

AIK

28 Jun

AIK

3 : 2

Vasteras SK

22 Jun

AIK

0 : 2

Kalmar

Page 1 of 6

Kalmar

(Away)

20 Jul

Kalmar

2 : 2

Malmo FF

12 Jul

Hammarby

2 : 0

Kalmar

05 Jul

Kalmar

3 : 0

Orgryte

27 Jun

Kalmar

2 : 0

Brommapojkarna

22 Jun

AIK

0 : 2

Kalmar

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sirius	13	11	2	0	36:16	35
2	Hammarby	14	8	2	4	32:14	26
3	Hacken	13	6	5	2	27:22	23
4	AIK	13	6	3	4	18:18	21
5	Djurgarden	12	6	2	4	26:15	20
6	Malmo FF	13	6	2	5	27:22	20
7	GAIS	14	5	4	5	18:14	19
8	Vasteras SK	13	5	4	4	22:23	19
9	Elfsborg	14	4	6	4	18:17	18
10	Mjallby	13	4	5	4	19:17	17
11	Brommapojkarna	13	4	4	5	18:21	16
12	Kalmar	13	4	2	7	16:19	14
13	IFK Goteborg	13	3	4	6	16:29	13
14	Degerfors	13	2	4	7	12:23	10
15	Orgryte	13	2	4	7	14:31	10
16	Halmstad	13	1	3	9	10:28	6

Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)

Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)

Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)

Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)