Sport Picks

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AIK vs Orebro

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Yohanna Z.
58' Event
Yohanna Z.
63'
Sub
Wahlstrom F. In: Dana H.
Out: Wahlstrom F.

AI Match Summary

AIK in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AIK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AIK
22%
Draws
18%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • AIK have won more games recently than Orebro.
  • Win probability leans AIK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AIK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
AIK Clean Sheet 19%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Orebro
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
AIK vs Orebro
3:1
Feb 18, 2024 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orebro
3:1
Jun 19, 2022 Club Friendly
AIK vs Orebro
3:2
Mar 7, 2022 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orebro
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Orebro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Yohanna Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gustafsson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrastovina E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 58 / 100
Orebro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Orebro let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

AIK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Orebro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
05 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
AIK
28 Jun
AIK
3 : 2
Vasteras SK
22 Jun
AIK
0 : 2
Kalmar
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Orebro

(Away)
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
14 Jun
Falkenberg
1 : 1
Orebro
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