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Aimore vs Pelotas

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
78'

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Pelotas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aimore
30%
Draws
33%
Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pelotas haven't matched Aimore's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aimore a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Aimore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pelotas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Aimore Clean Sheet 68%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aimore Pelotas
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.92 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Copa FGF
Pelotas vs Aimore
0:2
Nov 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Aimore vs Pelotas
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Aimore vs Pelotas
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs Pelotas
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Aimore
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aimore 50 / 100
Pelotas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aimore Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aimore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aimore scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

Pelotas has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Aimore remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aimore VS Pelotas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aimore

(Home)
15 Aug
Aimore
2 : 1
GE Bage
12 Aug
Veranopolis
3 : 0
Aimore
08 Aug
Aimore
1 : 0
GE Gloria
05 Aug
Aimore
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
02 Aug
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 0
Aimore
Page 1 of 6

Pelotas

(Away)
16 Aug
Veranopolis
2 : 0
Pelotas
13 Aug
SC Gaucho
2 : 0
Pelotas
09 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 1
GE Bage
05 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 0
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
02 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pelotas 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
2 SC Gaucho 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Brasil de Pelotas 7 3 4 0 16:4 13
4 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
5 Aimore 7 3 1 3 9:5 10
6 EC Juventude 2 7 1 2 4 5:16 7
7 Internacional 2 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
8 Sao Gabriel 7 0 1 6 0:30 -4
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)