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Airdrieonians vs Elgin City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Airdrieonians have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Elgin City's 2.07 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Airdrieonians have won 1 to Elgin City's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.63) point toward Elgin City. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Airdrieonians
20%
Draws
47%
Elgin City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Airdrieonians haven't matched Elgin City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Elgin City a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Elgin City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Elgin City, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 14%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Elgin City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.52 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Airdrieonians vs Elgin City
1:1
Oct 12, 2019 Challenge Cup
Airdrieonians vs Elgin City
0:2
Sep 7, 2002 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Elgin City
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 27 / 100
Elgin City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Elgin City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Elgin City has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Airdrieonians stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Elgin City
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
24 Oct
Ross County
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
13 Oct
Airdrieonians
3 : 2
Hearts B
10 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 2
Airdrieonians
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
Page 1 of 7

Elgin City

(Away)
24 Oct
Stirling University
1 : 2
Elgin City
17 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
13 Oct
Elgin City
0 : 1
Aberdeen B
10 Oct
Forfar Athletic
1 : 2
Elgin City
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2
Clyde
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Stenhousemuir -
Berwick -
Aberdeen B -
Queen's Park -
East Kilbride -
Stirling -
St. Mirren B -
Peterhead -
Arbroath -
Queen of the South -
Annan -
Ayr -
Clydebank FC -
Alloa -
Spartans -
Livingston -
Airdrieonians -
Elgin City -
Edinburgh City -
Partick -
Inverness -
Montrose -
Formartine Utd -
Cove Rangers -
Ross County -
Celtic B -
Hamilton -
Raith -
Morton -
Kelty Hearts -
Bonnyrigg Rose -
Dunfermline -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -