Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs Montrose

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Albert Bartlett Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Gallagher G.
Assist: Cooper C.
60' Event
Mochrie C. R.
Assist: Strapp L.
61' Event
Loudon E.
Assist: Webster G.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge Cup 2025/2026 game between Airdrieonians and Montrose finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Airdrieonians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Airdrieonians
6%
Draws
90%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Montrose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Montrose's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Challenge Cup 2025/2026 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Airdrieonians have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 16%
Montrose Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Montrose
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Challenge Cup
Airdrieonians vs Montrose
3:1
Jul 23, 2025 League Cup
Montrose vs Airdrieonians
1:2
Apr 8, 2023 League One
Airdrieonians vs Montrose
3:0
Dec 23, 2022 League One
Montrose vs Airdrieonians
2:4
Oct 29, 2022 League One
Airdrieonians vs Montrose
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mochrie C. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Loudon E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 10 / 100
Montrose 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Montrose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montrose has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Airdrieonians's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Airdrieonians has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Montrose
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Arbroath3
Kelty Hearts2
Elgin City2
East Fife3
Alloa2
Airdrieonians3
Montrose2
Spartans1
Queen's Park2
Clyde1
Forfar Athletic2
Edinburgh City1
Raith5
Hamilton2
Queen of the South4
Dunfermline3
Hearts B0
St Johnstone1
Ross County4
Celtic B0
Ayr2
Peterhead1
East Kilbride1
Stranraer4
Cove Rangers1
Partick2
Dumbarton0
Inverness9
Stirling3
Morton2
Stenhousemuir2
Annan0
1/8-finals
Arbroath3
East Fife0
Airdrieonians3
Montrose1
Queen's Park2
Forfar Athletic0
Raith1
Queen of the South0
St Johnstone2
Ross County0
Ayr4
Stranraer1
Partick3
Inverness4
Stirling1
Stenhousemuir2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath2
Airdrieonians3
Queen's Park1
Raith2
St Johnstone3
Ayr4
Inverness1
Stenhousemuir0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians1
Raith2
Ayr1
Inverness2
Final
Raith4
Inverness1