Sport Picks
Airdrieonians vs Raith
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie 
Match Events
30'
30'
Ross C.
48'
48'
Sub
Hamilton J. In: Cameron I.
Out: Hamilton J.
52'
52'
McGinty S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Raith advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Airdrieonians haven't matched Raith's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Raith's way, sitting at 50%.
- Raith arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 15%
Raith Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Airdrieonians | Raith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Championship
Raith vs Airdrieonians
3:1
Feb 25, 2026 Challenge Cup
Airdrieonians vs Raith
1:2
Jan 3, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Raith
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Championship
Raith vs Airdrieonians
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Raith
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Airdrieonians Compare
Top Goalscorer Hastie J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Raith Compare
Top Goalscorer Easton D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Airdrieonians 23 / 100
Raith 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Airdrieonians Raith
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Raith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Airdrieonians scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Raith's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Airdrieonians has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Airdrieonians VS Raith
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Airdrieonians
(Home) 12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
05 Sept
Queen of the South
2 : 1 Airdrieonians
29 Aug
Airdrieonians
0 : 0 East Fife
25 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 3 Stirling
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
29 Aug
Airdrieonians
0 : 0 East Fife
25 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 3 Stirling
22 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 3 Ross County
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Raith
(Away) 12 Sept
Raith
4 : 0 Arbroath
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0 Raith
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0 Ayr
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2 Raith
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Inverness
0 : 2 Raith
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0 Raith
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2 Raith
18 Jul
Hamilton
2 : 1 Raith
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0 Raith
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
