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Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs Ross County Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

League One Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Gallagher G. In: Taylor K.
Out: Gallagher G.
16'
Kettlewell S.
25'
McLeish L.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Airdrieonians and Ross County finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ross County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Airdrieonians
15%
Draws
38%
Ross County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ross County carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ross County are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 10%
Ross County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Ross County
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 21
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.57 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League One
Airdrieonians vs Ross County
1:3
Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Ross County
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Ross County vs Airdrieonians
0:4
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Ross County
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Championship
Ross County vs Airdrieonians
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ross County Compare

Top Goalscorer Emslie A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindsay J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 10 / 100
Ross County 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Ross County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ross County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Airdrieonians remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Airdrieonians scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Ross County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Ross County
2.25 Goals Scored 3.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 6

Ross County

(Away)
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0
Hearts B
22 Sept
Clachnacuddin
1 : 5
Ross County
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2
Ross County
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 7 6 1 0 22:4 19
2 Hamilton 7 6 1 0 16:1 19
3 Montrose 8 5 0 3 13:13 15
4 East Kilbride 8 4 1 3 14:12 13
5 Alloa 8 2 3 3 8:6 9
6 Airdrieonians 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
7 East Fife 8 1 5 2 7:7 8
8 Peterhead 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
9 Cove Rangers 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
10 Queen of the South 8 1 1 6 6:24 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)