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Ajax (Am) vs Achilles 29 Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Jurka R.
85' Event
Abdulrahman S.

AI Match Summary

Ajax (Am) in this Derde Divisie 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax (Am).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ajax (Am)
20%
Draws
80%
Achilles 29
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Achilles 29

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ajax (Am) lately — more wins on the board than Achilles 29.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ajax (Am) taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 19%
Achilles 29 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax (Am) Achilles 29
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.34 1.37
Goals Conceded 2 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2019 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Achilles 29
2:0
Nov 17, 2018 Derde Divisie
Achilles 29 vs Ajax (Am)
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurka R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulrahman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Achilles 29 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax (Am) 36 / 100
Achilles 29 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax (Am) Achilles 29

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax (Am)'s goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Achilles 29's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Achilles 29's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajax (Am) VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax (Am)

(Home)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 7

Achilles 29

(Away)
20 Oct
Achilles 29
1 : 0
De Treffers
25 May
Achilles 29
1 : 3
ODIN '59
18 May
VV DOVO
3 : 3
Achilles 29
11 May
ASWH
4 : 1
Achilles 29
04 May
Achilles 29
1 : 1
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)