Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax (Am) vs TEC

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bitter J.
26' Event
Jap Tjong D.
49' Event
Brinkman T.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Ajax (Am) and TEC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TEC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ajax (Am)
15%
Draws
85%
TEC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TEC come out ahead of Ajax (Am) on wins alone.
  • Model gives TEC a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 13%
TEC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax (Am) TEC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs TEC
2:3
Sep 22, 2024 Derde Divisie
TEC vs Ajax (Am)
1:1
Sep 24, 2003 KNVB Beker
TEC vs Ajax (Am)
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Bitter J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brinkman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

TEC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jap Tjong D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hazzat R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax (Am) 10 / 100
TEC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax (Am) TEC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax (Am) scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

TEC let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

TEC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax (Am) VS TEC
0 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax (Am)

(Home)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 6

TEC

(Away)
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5
TEC
01 Sept
TEC
4 : 2
Almkerk
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)