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Ajax U19 vs De Graafschap U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U19
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ajax U19 host De Graafschap U19 in the Divisie 1 U19. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. De Graafschap U19 have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Ajax U19 have conceded 2.06 and scored 2.52. Head-to-head, Ajax U19 have won 2 to De Graafschap U19's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.50 xG vs 1.94) point toward Ajax U19. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ajax U19
30%
Draws
23%
De Graafschap U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Divisie 1 U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 10%
De Graafschap U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax U19 De Graafschap U19
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.52 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19
1:1
Oct 27, 2017 Divisie 1 U19
De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19
2:2
Mar 29, 2014 Divisie 1 U19
Ajax U19 vs De Graafschap U19
1:1
Jan 18, 2014 Divisie 1 U19
De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19
1:4
Mar 2, 2013 Divisie 1 U19
De Graafschap U19 vs Ajax U19
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax U19 29 / 100
De Graafschap U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax U19 De Graafschap U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax U19's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

De Graafschap U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Ajax U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ajax U19 VS De Graafschap U19
3.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax U19

(Home)
10 Oct
Zwolle U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
Page 1 of 7

De Graafschap U19

(Away)
10 Oct
De Graafschap U19
3 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam U19
22 Sept
De Graafschap U19
5 : 1
PSV U19
19 Sept
Nijmegen U19
6 : 3
De Graafschap U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Zwolle U19
2 : 1
De Graafschap U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax U19 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Nijmegen U19 5 4 0 1 21:15 12
3 AZ Alkmaar U19 6 3 1 2 7:3 10
4 Feyenoord U19 5 2 1 2 17:12 7
5 PSV U19 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
6 De Graafschap U19 6 1 3 2 13:13 6
7 Zwolle U19 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
8 Sparta Rotterdam U19 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
Promotion - Divisie 1 U19 (Play Offs)