Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Dahl S.
60'
60'
Sub
Wijndal O. In: Mokio J.
Out: Wijndal O.
69'
69'
Weghorst W.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Ajax and Benfica finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Ajax on wins alone.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Ajax taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ajax | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 2.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 25, 2025 Champions League
Ajax vs Benfica
0:2
Mar 15, 2022 Champions League
Ajax vs Benfica
0:1
Feb 23, 2022 Champions League
Benfica vs Ajax
2:2
Nov 7, 2018 Champions League
Benfica vs Ajax
1:1
Oct 23, 2018 Champions League
Ajax vs Benfica
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ajax Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Dahl S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barreiro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ajax 38 / 100
Benfica 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ajax Benfica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ajax scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Benfica has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Ajax stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ajax VS Benfica
3.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ajax
(Home) 19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1 Willem II
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5 Ajax
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4 Ajax
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1 Willem II
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
27 Aug
Ajax
5 : 3 Sion
16 Aug
Ajax
2 : 2 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 4
Benfica
(Away) 20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
27 Aug
Aarhus
1 : 3 Benfica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
