Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus

World World

Club Friendly Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Hezze S.
42'
Rodinei
46'
Sub
Dolberg K. In: Konadu D.
Out: Dolberg K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ajax and Olympiacos Piraeus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ajax
20%
Draws
45%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ajax carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ajax are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ajax Clean Sheet 17%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:0
Jan 28, 2026 Champions League
Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:2
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:0
Nov 4, 1998 Champions League
Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0
Oct 21, 1998 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Ajax
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Edvardsen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 41 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Ajax remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Olympiacos Piraeus conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS Olympiacos Piraeus
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax

(Home)
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
27 Aug
Ajax
5 : 3
Sion
20 Aug
Sion
2 : 4
Ajax
16 Aug
Ajax
2 : 2
Heerenveen
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Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
02 Sept
AEL Larissa
0 : 4
Olympiacos Piraeus
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Aug
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Atromitos
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