Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax W vs Grasshopper W

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Ajax W Logo

Ajax W

2 - 1
FT
Grasshopper W Logo

Grasshopper W

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
van Asten R.
Assist: van Hensbergen J.
16' Event
Tolhoek D.
23'
Tolhoek D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ajax W in this UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ajax W
20%
Draws
46%
Grasshopper W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grasshopper W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Grasshopper W haven't matched Ajax W's recent run of results.
  • Grasshopper W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Ajax W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ajax W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 14%
Grasshopper W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W Grasshopper W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.8 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Ajax W vs Grasshopper W
2:1
Oct 8, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Grasshopper W vs Ajax W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Asten R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tolhoek D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Grasshopper W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arcangeli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 19 / 100
Grasshopper W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W Grasshopper W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grasshopper W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Grasshopper W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Ajax W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS Grasshopper W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
02 Sept
Real Madrid W
2 : 1
Ajax W
26 Aug
Ajax W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
22 Aug
Ajax W
1 : 0
PEC Zwolle W
Page 1 of 6

Grasshopper W

(Away)
13 Sept
Grasshopper W
0 : 0
Luzern W
09 Sept
Basel W
1 : 1
Grasshopper W
06 Sept
Grasshopper W
1 : 3
Servette W
29 Aug
Yverdon W
1 : 2
Grasshopper W
16 Aug
Grasshopper W
6 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Braga W -
TBD -
Aris Limassol W 0
RSC Anderlecht W 14
Sparta Prague W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros W -
Inter W 5
Hibernian W 1
Vllaznia W 4
Kolos Kovalivka W 0
Grasshopper W 5
BIIK Shymkent W 1
Ajax W 4
Sturm Graz W 0
Sporting W -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosengard W -
Minsk FK W -
TBD -
Rosenborg W 3
PSV W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko W -
Vorskla Poltava W -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortuna Hjorring W -
Breidablik W -
TBD -
Partizani W 0
Spartak Subotica W 8
Gintra Universitetas W -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland W 8
KuPS W 2
Hacken W -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice W -
Young Boys W -
TBD -
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 4
Fomget Genclik Ve Spor W 3
Koge W 6
Farul Constanta W 2
Glasgow City W 6
Athlone W 0
Slavia Prague W -
TBD -
TBD -
Austria Vienna W -
ZNK Mura W -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Minsk W -
Hammarby W -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann W -
Final
Braga W 3
RSC Anderlecht W 4
Sparta Prague W 5
Ferencvaros W 0
Inter W 12
Vllaznia W 0
Grasshopper W 1
Ajax W 2
Sporting W 5
Rosengard W 2
Minsk FK W 0
PSV W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 5
Slovacko W 0
Vorskla Poltava W 1
Fortuna Hjorring W 2
Breidablik W 5
Spartak Subotica W 1
Gintra Universitetas W 1
Nordsjaelland W 5
Hacken W 7
GKS Katowice W 1
Young Boys W 3
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 0
Koge W 5
Glasgow City W 6
Slavia Prague W 3
Austria Vienna W 4
ZNK Mura W 3
Din. Minsk W 2
Hammarby W 5
Brann W 2