Sport Picks
Ajax W vs Sturm Graz W
Europe
UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel 
Match Events
31'
31'
Sub
van Asten R. In: van Hensbergen J.
Out: van Asten R.
66'
66'
Sub
Keukelaar L. In: Derks R.
Out: Keukelaar L.
69'
69'
Noordman D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Ajax W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Ajax W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ajax W's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ajax W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ajax W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 68%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ajax W | Sturm Graz W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Sturm Graz W vs Ajax W
0:2
Sep 11, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Ajax W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ajax W Compare
Top Goalscorer Noordman D.
1 Goals Assists Leader van Koppen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Sturm Graz W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ajax W 95 / 100
Sturm Graz W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ajax W Sturm Graz W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ajax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ajax W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sturm Graz W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Ajax W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ajax W VS Sturm Graz W
3 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ajax W
(Home) 04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4 Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0 Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1 Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0 Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1 AZ Alkmaar W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1 Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0 Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1 AZ Alkmaar W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0 De Graafschap W
26 Aug
Ajax W
0 : 2 Real Madrid W
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Sturm Graz W
(Away) 04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2 Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2 Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2 Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1 Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0 Rapid Vienna W
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04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2 Sturm Graz W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1 Sturm Graz W
13 Sept
Union Kleinmunchen W
0 : 4 Sturm Graz W
02 Sept
Gintra Universitetas W
3 : 5 Sturm Graz W
21 Aug
First Vienna W
1 : 1 Sturm Graz W
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Braga W -
TBD -
Aris Limassol W 0
RSC Anderlecht W 14
Sparta Prague W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros W -
Inter W 5
Hibernian W 1
Vllaznia W 4
Kolos Kovalivka W 0
Grasshopper W 5
BIIK Shymkent W 1
Ajax W 4
Sturm Graz W 0
Sporting W -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosengard W -
Minsk FK W -
TBD -
Rosenborg W 3
PSV W 4
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko W -
Vorskla Poltava W -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortuna Hjorring W -
Breidablik W -
TBD -
Partizani W 0
Spartak Subotica W 8
Gintra Universitetas W -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland W 8
KuPS W 2
Hacken W -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice W -
Young Boys W -
TBD -
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 4
Fomget Genclik Ve Spor W 3
Koge W 6
Farul Constanta W 2
Glasgow City W 6
Athlone W 0
Slavia Prague W -
TBD -
TBD -
Austria Vienna W -
ZNK Mura W -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Minsk W -
Hammarby W -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann W -
Final
Braga W 3
RSC Anderlecht W 4
Sparta Prague W 5
Ferencvaros W 0
Inter W 12
Vllaznia W 0
Grasshopper W 1
Ajax W 2
Sporting W 5
Rosengard W 2
Minsk FK W 0
PSV W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 5
Slovacko W 0
Vorskla Poltava W 1
Fortuna Hjorring W 2
Breidablik W 5
Spartak Subotica W 1
Gintra Universitetas W 1
Nordsjaelland W 5
Hacken W 7
GKS Katowice W 1
Young Boys W 3
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W 0
Koge W 5
Glasgow City W 6
Slavia Prague W 3
Austria Vienna W 4
ZNK Mura W 3
Din. Minsk W 2
Hammarby W 5
Brann W 2
