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AJEL vs Linguere

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
AJEL Logo

AJEL

2 - 1
FT
Linguere Logo

Linguere

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AJEL in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AJEL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AJEL
35%
Draws
19%
Linguere
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AJEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AJEL have won more games recently than Linguere.
  • Win probability leans AJEL's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
AJEL Clean Sheet 68%
Linguere Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AJEL Linguere
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 9 16
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Linguere
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Linguere vs AJEL
2:0
Jun 21, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Linguere
1:0
Feb 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Linguere vs AJEL
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AJEL 50 / 100
Linguere 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AJEL Linguere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AJEL's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Linguere conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

AJEL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AJEL VS Linguere
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AJEL

(Home)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
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Linguere

(Away)
04 Jun
Linguere
1 : 1
Wally Daan
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Linguere
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)