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Stadium Background

Ajman vs Al Wasl

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ajman Stadium, Ajman
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Jabrane Y.
37' Event
Borja Hernandez M. A.
42'
Rodrigo

AI Match Summary

Al Wasl in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Wasl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ajman
15%
Draws
37%
Al Wasl
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Al Wasl have won more games recently than Ajman.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ajman Clean Sheet 10%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajman Al Wasl
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Wasl
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Ajman
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Al Wasl vs Ajman
0:1
Mar 28, 2025 UAE League
Al Wasl vs Ajman
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 UAE League
Ajman vs Al Wasl
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajman Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Wasl Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja Hernandez M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saleh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajman 34 / 100
Al Wasl 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajman Al Wasl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Wasl Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajman scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Al Wasl let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ajman stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ajman VS Al Wasl
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajman

(Home)
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
22 Aug
Ajman
4 : 3
Hatta
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Al Wasl

(Away)
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
10 Sept
Al Ain
2 : 2
Al Wasl
04 Sept
Al Wasl
5 : 2
Khorfakkan
28 Aug
Al Wasl
0 : 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)