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Ajman vs Dibba Al Fujairah

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ajman Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ajman play Dibba Al Fujairah in the UAE League 2025/2026. Ajman are favorites here. Recently, Ajman averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Dibba Al Fujairah averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Ajman won 5, Dibba Al Fujairah won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Ajman and 1.31 for Dibba Al Fujairah. This points to a Ajman double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ajman
15%
Draws
26%
Dibba Al Fujairah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ajman picked up more points recently compared to Dibba Al Fujairah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Ajman Clean Sheet 18%
Dibba Al Fujairah Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajman Dibba Al Fujairah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 UAE League
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Ajman
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Dibba Al Fujairah
2:0
Feb 18, 2023 UAE League
Ajman vs Dibba Al Fujairah
3:2
Oct 1, 2022 UAE League
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Ajman
1:3
Apr 26, 2019 UAE League
Dibba Al Fujairah vs Ajman
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Moumen I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faiz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dibba Al Fujairah Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajman 57 / 100
Dibba Al Fujairah 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajman Dibba Al Fujairah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ajman & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ajman attacking → ← attacking Dibba Al Fujairah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajman scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Dibba Al Fujairah let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ajman went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dibba Al Fujairah lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 23
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520