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Ak Bulak vs Kaspij Aktau

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2012
Ak Bulak Logo

Ak Bulak

0 - 3
FT
Kaspij Aktau Logo

Kaspij Aktau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau in this First Division 2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaspij Aktau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ak Bulak
15%
Draws
31%
Kaspij Aktau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ak Bulak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ak Bulak lately — more wins on the board than Kaspij Aktau.
  • Ak Bulak are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ak Bulak Clean Sheet 20%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ak Bulak Kaspij Aktau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2013 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Ak Bulak
1:0
Jul 13, 2013 First League
Ak Bulak vs Kaspij Aktau
5:1
Aug 24, 2012 First League
Ak Bulak vs Kaspij Aktau
0:3
May 31, 2012 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Ak Bulak
2:1
Aug 11, 2011 First League
Ak Bulak vs Kaspij Aktau
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ak Bulak 85 / 100
Kaspij Aktau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ak Bulak Kaspij Aktau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ak Bulak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Ak Bulak found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Kaspij Aktau conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Ak Bulak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaspij Aktau
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ak Bulak

(Home)
26 Oct
Ak Bulak
2 : 0
Maqtaaral
23 Oct
Ak Bulak
1 : 0
FK Kyran
16 Oct
Bayterek Astana
0 : 2
Ak Bulak
13 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
1 : 4
Ak Bulak
01 Oct
Sunkar
2 : 1
Ak Bulak
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Kaspij Aktau

(Away)
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2
Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0
Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2
Yelimay Semey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ile-Saulet 30 17 10 3 52:20 61
2 Vostok Oskemen 30 16 9 5 40:21 57
3 Zhenis 30 16 9 5 38:17 57
4 Bayterek Astana 30 14 11 5 39:19 53
5 FK Kyran 30 14 6 10 51:38 48
6 Spartak Semey 30 14 4 12 38:45 46
7 Shakhtar Bulat 30 12 10 8 30:23 46
8 Kaspij Aktau 30 12 7 11 39:31 43
9 Ak Bulak 30 11 8 11 34:29 41
10 Taraz-Karatau 2 30 11 8 11 33:28 41
11 Kyzylzhar 30 11 7 12 36:43 40
12 FC Ekibastuz 30 11 4 15 45:43 37
13 Kairat Almaty 2 30 9 9 12 37:41 36
14 Aktobe Zhas 30 8 2 20 31:62 26
15 CSKA Almaty 30 4 6 20 18:55 18
16 Shymkent 30 3 4 23 20:66 13
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Main)