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Akademiya Ontustik vs FC Astana 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Akademiya Ontustik Logo

Akademiya Ontustik

2 - 1
FT
FC Astana 2 Logo

FC Astana 2

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tokenov T.
Assist: Amangeldinov R.
36'
Nurmukhambet N.
36'
Nurmukhambet N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Akademiya Ontustik and FC Astana 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akademiya Ontustik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Akademiya Ontustik
20%
Draws
33%
FC Astana 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Akademiya Ontustik come out ahead of FC Astana 2 on wins alone.
  • Akademiya Ontustik are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 16%
FC Astana 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akademiya Ontustik FC Astana 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs FC Astana 2
2:1
Apr 23, 2026 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik
1:0
Aug 25, 2023 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs FC Astana 2
2:4
May 14, 2023 First League
FC Astana 2 vs Akademiya Ontustik
0:3
Aug 6, 2022 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs FC Astana 2
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuraly B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

FC Astana 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tokenov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akademiya Ontustik 41 / 100
FC Astana 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akademiya Ontustik FC Astana 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Astana 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Akademiya Ontustik found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Akademiya Ontustik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akademiya Ontustik VS FC Astana 2
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Akademiya Ontustik

(Home)
08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0
Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 6

FC Astana 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Kaspij Aktau 2
6 : 0
FC Astana 2
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Khan Tengri
3 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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