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Akademiya Ontustik vs FC Ekibastuz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ali A.
Assist: Abdashyn A.
20' Event
Ali A.
Assist: Nuraly B.
79' Event
Mukhit A.
Assist: Al Khadzh N.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Akademiya Ontustik and FC Ekibastuz finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akademiya Ontustik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Akademiya Ontustik
20%
Draws
7%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Akademiya Ontustik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Akademiya Ontustik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 19%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akademiya Ontustik FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs FC Ekibastuz
3:2
May 21, 2026 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Akademiya Ontustik
2:2
Aug 28, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Akademiya Ontustik
2:1
May 28, 2025 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs FC Ekibastuz
0:1
Oct 19, 2023 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs Akademiya Ontustik
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhit A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akademiya Ontustik 85 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akademiya Ontustik FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akademiya Ontustik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akademiya Ontustik found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Ekibastuz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Akademiya Ontustik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akademiya Ontustik VS FC Ekibastuz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Akademiya Ontustik

(Home)
08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0
Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 6

FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
Khan Tengri
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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