Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akademiya Ontustik vs Yelimay Semey 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ali A.
Assist: Niyazkulov B.
23' Event
Levkovich V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Akademiya Ontustik host Yelimay Semey 2 in the First League. This has Akademiya Ontustik written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Akademiya Ontustik at 1.5 goals for, 1.38 against; Yelimay Semey 2 at 0.5 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, Akademiya Ontustik have won 0 to Yelimay Semey 2's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 0.94, favoring Akademiya Ontustik. Akademiya Ontustik in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Akademiya Ontustik
6%
Draws
4%
Yelimay Semey 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Akademiya Ontustik has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Yelimay Semey 2.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Akademiya Ontustik.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 20%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akademiya Ontustik Yelimay Semey 2
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 14 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Yelimay Semey 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akademiya Ontustik 85 / 100
Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akademiya Ontustik Yelimay Semey 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akademiya Ontustik scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Yelimay Semey 2 let in goals in 100% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Akademiya Ontustik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Yelimay Semey 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akademiya Ontustik VS Yelimay Semey 2
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 213112044:735
2Shakhter Karagandy13111136:534
3Turan1381425:1125
4FC Astana 21362524:2220
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7Khan Tengri1352618:2517
8FC Ekibastuz1345417:2417
9Taraz1351719:1916
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21343616:2215
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 21313910:276