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AKAS vs Shakhter Karagandy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sautov A.
Assist: Yakudi K.
9'
Ospanov R.
39'
Sautov A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
AKAS
20%
Draws
74%
Shakhter Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Shakhter Karagandy have won more games recently than AKAS.
  • Win probability leans Shakhter Karagandy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AKAS Clean Sheet 10%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AKAS Shakhter Karagandy
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 26
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.53 2.72
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2025 First League
AKAS vs Shakhter Karagandy
1:1
Jun 13, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs AKAS
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AKAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Sautov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Tattybaev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AKAS 10 / 100
Shakhter Karagandy 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AKAS Shakhter Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AKAS found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Shakhter Karagandy let in goals in 31% of their last 32 matches.

AKAS has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shakhter Karagandy
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AKAS

(Home)
24 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
16 Oct
Taraz
3 : 1
AKAS
02 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
18 Sept
AKAS
1 : 1
Altai
Page 1 of 6

Shakhter Karagandy

(Away)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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