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Akha vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
50' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

Akha in this Premier League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Akha
6%
Draws
4%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Akha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Akha lately — more wins on the board than Al Egtmaaey Tripoli.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Akha taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Akha Clean Sheet 18%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akha Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 Premier League
Akha vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
4:1
Oct 21, 2016 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Akha
1:0
May 11, 2014 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Akha
1:5
Dec 8, 2013 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Akha
2:2
Feb 24, 2013 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Akha
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akha 85 / 100
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akha Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Egtmaaey Tripoli has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Al Egtmaaey Tripoli registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Akha found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Akha VS Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahed22154341:1449
2Salam Zgharta22124635:2940
3Nejmeh SC22116536:2233
4Al Ansar2295835:4032
5Shabab Baalbeck2294926:2431
6Tadamon22931025:2530
7Racing2286826:3030
8Akha22921135:3729
9Tripoli SC22841034:3128
10Safa2286832:3227
11Al Sahel22741120:2325
12Al Egtmaaey Tripoli22221821:598