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Akha vs Tripoli SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akha play Tripoli SC in the Premier League 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Akha averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Tripoli SC averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Akha won 2, Tripoli SC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 15, 2017 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Akha and 0.99 for Tripoli SC. This points to a Akha double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Akha
18%
Draws
40%
Tripoli SC
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Akha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Akha picked up more points recently compared to Tripoli SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Akha Clean Sheet 23%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akha Tripoli SC
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.08

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2017 Premier League
Akha vs Tripoli SC
1:2
Sep 10, 2016 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Akha
1:2
Feb 8, 2015 Premier League
Akha vs Tripoli SC
1:1
Dec 7, 2014 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Akha
2:1
May 4, 2014 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Akha
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akha 42 / 100
Tripoli SC 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akha Tripoli SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Akha or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Akha attacking → ← attacking Tripoli SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akha scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tripoli SC let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Akha went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tripoli SC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 51
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahed22154341:1449
2Salam Zgharta22124635:2940
3Nejmeh SC22116536:2233
4Al Ansar2295835:4032
5Shabab Baalbeck2294926:2431
6Tadamon22931025:2530
7Racing2286826:3030
8Akha22921135:3729
9Tripoli SC22841034:3128
10Safa2286832:3227
11Al Sahel22741120:2325
12Al Egtmaaey Tripoli22221821:598