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Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Makhachkala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Silva I.
22'
Sub
Magomedov T. In: Volk D.
Out: Magomedov T.
31'
Sundukov T.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Akhmat Grozny and Dynamo Makhachkala finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akhmat Grozny.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Akhmat Grozny
20%
Draws
44%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dynamo Makhachkala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Akhmat Grozny carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Akhmat Grozny's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akhmat Grozny Dynamo Makhachkala
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.36 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Makhachkala
3:2
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Akhmat Grozny
1:0
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Akhmat Grozny
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keliano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sundukov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akhmat Grozny 86 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akhmat Grozny Dynamo Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akhmat Grozny Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Akhmat Grozny scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Akhmat Grozny remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akhmat Grozny VS Dynamo Makhachkala
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Akhmat Grozny

(Home)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Makhachkala

(Away)
10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
10 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
11 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
12 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
13 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)