Sport Picks
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
Russia
Russian Cup 2025/2026 Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sadulaev L.
Assist: Utsiev R.
13'
13'
Zotov A.
27'
27'
Melkadze G.
Assist: Todorovic D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Akhmat Grozny advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Akhmat Grozny
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Akhmat Grozny come out ahead of Rubin Kazan on wins alone.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Akhmat Grozny taking it.
- Akhmat Grozny have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Akhmat Grozny, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 68%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akhmat Grozny | Rubin Kazan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny
1:0
Oct 22, 2025 Russian Cup
Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny
4:3
Aug 26, 2025 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akhmat Grozny Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadulaev L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Melkadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Rubin Kazan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akhmat Grozny 86 / 100
Rubin Kazan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akhmat Grozny Rubin Kazan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AKH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Akhmat Grozny's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Akhmat Grozny remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Rubin Kazan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Akhmat Grozny VS Rubin Kazan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Akhmat Grozny
(Home) 16 Jul
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 0 Ajman
14 Jul
Radnik Bijeljina
0 : 3 Akhmat Grozny
11 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
04 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
29 Jun
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 1 Borac Banja Luka
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16 Jul
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 0 Ajman
29 Jun
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 1 Borac Banja Luka
27 Jun
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 0 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
10 May
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
03 May
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 4
Rubin Kazan
(Away) 18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 1 Rubin Kazan
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 3 Rubin Kazan
11 Jul
Rubin Kazan
2 : 0 Krylya Sovetov Samara
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 Rubin Kazan
03 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 2 Orenburg
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 1 Rubin Kazan
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 3 Rubin Kazan
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 Rubin Kazan
11 May
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 Rubin Kazan
02 May
Baltika
0 : 1 Rubin Kazan
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Baltika | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)