Sport Picks
Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj 
Match Events
5'
5'
Cacintura E.
(Penalty)
39'
39'
Wooh C.
Assist: Costa Martins J. M.
42'
42'
Maksimenko A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Akhmat Grozny and Spartak Moscow finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spartak Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 14%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akhmat Grozny | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moscow
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moscow
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Spartak Moscow
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akhmat Grozny Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Spartak Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Wooh C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barco E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akhmat Grozny 31 / 100
Spartak Moscow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akhmat Grozny Spartak Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Akhmat Grozny's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Spartak Moscow has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Akhmat Grozny went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Akhmat Grozny VS Spartak Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Akhmat Grozny
(Home) 17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
22 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
4 : 1 FK Rostov
18 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
02 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 2 Spartak Moscow
Page 1 of 3
Spartak Moscow
(Away) 10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
19 Aug
Rubin Kazan
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
16 Aug
Baltika
1 : 2 Spartak Moscow
02 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 2 Spartak Moscow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
