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Akragas vs Licata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Sun, Mar 23, 2025
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akragas host Licata in the Serie D - Group I 2024/2025. This one's hard to separate. Akragas have averaged 0.57 scored and 1.7 conceded recently, against Licata's 1 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Akragas have won 1 to Licata's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 0.69) point toward Licata. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Akragas
15%
Draws
64%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Licata have won more games recently than Akragas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Akragas Clean Sheet 20%
Licata Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akragas Licata
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Licata
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Akragas
1:1
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Akragas
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Licata
1:4
Mar 16, 2014 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Akragas
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akragas 31 / 100
Licata 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akragas Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akragas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Licata's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Akragas found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (23 games).

Scoring Trends

Akragas VS Licata
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akragas

(Home)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
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Licata

(Away)
11 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 0
Licata
04 May
Nissa
3 : 2
Licata
27 Apr
Licata
3 : 0
Pompei
17 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 0
Licata
13 Apr
Licata
2 : 3
Paterno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)