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Akragas vs Nissa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Sun, Apr 27, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akragas host Nissa in the Serie D - Group I 2024/2025. Nissa go into this one as the clear favorite. Nissa have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Akragas have conceded 1.7 and scored 0.57. Past meetings favor Nissa slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 1.05) point toward Nissa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Akragas
30%
Draws
64%
Nissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nissa have won more games recently than Akragas.
  • Win probability leans Nissa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Akragas Clean Sheet 20%
Nissa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akragas Nissa
Matches Played 23 36
Wins 2 23
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.57 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Nissa
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Akragas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akragas 12 / 100
Nissa 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akragas Nissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akragas's goal record stands at 39% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Nissa let in goals in 56% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Akragas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nissa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akragas

(Home)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
Page 1 of 5

Nissa

(Away)
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1
Lamezia
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1
Nissa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)