Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akragas vs Nuova Gioiese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Grillo P.
(Penalty)
7' Event
Distefano G. M.
53' Event
Montefusco F.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Akragas and Nuova Gioiese finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akragas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Akragas
17%
Draws
13%
Nuova Gioiese
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Akragas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Akragas come out ahead of Nuova Gioiese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Akragas a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Akragas Clean Sheet 68%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akragas Nuova Gioiese
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 3 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Nuova Gioiese
6:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Akragas
0:1
Jan 18, 2015 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Akragas
0:0
Sep 14, 2014 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Nuova Gioiese
1:0
Mar 2, 2014 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Akragas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akragas Compare

Top Goalscorer Distefano G. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marrale G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akragas 77 / 100
Nuova Gioiese 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akragas Nuova Gioiese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nuova Gioiese conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Nuova Gioiese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Akragas scored in 42% of their last 24 games.

Scoring Trends

Akragas VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akragas

(Home)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
Page 1 of 5

Nuova Gioiese

(Away)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)