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Akranes W vs Selfoss W

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Women 2024
Akranes W Logo

Akranes W

Mon, Apr 22, 2024
5 - 4
07:15 PM
Selfoss W Logo

Selfoss W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bergsdottir U.
22' Event
Halldorsdottir J.
45' Event
Agustsdottir K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-4, with Akranes W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Akranes W
15%
Draws
42%
Selfoss W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akranes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Akranes W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Akranes W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Akranes W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Selfoss W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Akranes W Clean Sheet 20%
Selfoss W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes W Selfoss W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 10
Draws 1 1
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2024 Icelandic Cup Women
Akranes W vs Selfoss W
5:4
Aug 17, 2016 Besta deild Women
Selfoss W vs Akranes W
1:2
May 24, 2016 Besta deild Women
Akranes W vs Selfoss W
0:2
Aug 14, 2014 Besta deild Women
Akranes W vs Selfoss W
0:1
Jun 6, 2014 Icelandic Cup Women
Selfoss W vs Akranes W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akranes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paoletti J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schwarzenberger M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Selfoss W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergsdottir U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halldorsdottir J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes W 85 / 100
Selfoss W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes W Selfoss W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Selfoss W conceded in 89% of 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Akranes W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Selfoss W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akranes W VS Selfoss W
2.14 Goals Scored 0.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes W

(Home)
15 May
Fram W
3 : 0
Akranes W
26 Apr
Afturelding W
1 : 2
Akranes W
19 Apr
Akranes W
5 : 1
Fjolnir W
19 Apr
Akranes W
0 : 1
Grindavik/Njardvik W
18 May
Grindavik W
3 : 2
Akranes W
Page 1 of 6

Selfoss W

(Away)
15 May
Selfoss W
0 : 7
Hafnarfjordur W
26 Apr
Selfoss W
2 : 1
Haukar W
19 Apr
Selfoss W
7 : 1
Augnablik W
19 Apr
Haukar W
4 : 0
Selfoss W
22 Apr
Akranes W
5 : 4
Selfoss W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Hafnarfjordur W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalvik/Reynir W 0
Einherji W 3
Volsungur W 1
FHL W 2
Tindastoll W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor/KA W -
Stjarnan W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik W -
Haukar W 2
IR Reykjavik W 0
Kopavogur W 1
Grotta W 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik W -
Smari W 0
Grindavik W 9
KR Reykjavik W 2
Alftanes W 0
Sindri W 0
Fjolnir W 8
Akranes W 5
Selfoss W 4
Valur W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Augnablik W 0
Fram W 5
Njardvik W 0
IH Hafnarfjordur W 10
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W -
TBD -
Afturelding W 4
KH Hlidarendi W 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik W -
Throttur W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir W -
1/16-finals
Hafnarfjordur W -
TBD -
Einherji W 0
FHL W 5
Tindastoll W -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor/KA W -
Stjarnan W -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik W -
Haukar W 2
Grotta W 3
TBD -
Keflavik W -
Grindavik W 2
KR Reykjavik W 1
Fjolnir W 0
Akranes W 1
Valur W -
TBD -
Fram W 5
IH Hafnarfjordur W 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1
Afturelding W 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik W -
Throttur W -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir W -
1/8-finals
Hafnarfjordur W 3
FHL W 2
Tindastoll W 1
Thor/KA W 2
Stjarnan W 3
Breidablik W 4
Grotta W 1
Keflavik W 3
Grindavik W 3
Akranes W 2
Valur W 8
Fram W 0
Afturelding W 1
Vikingur Reykjavik W 0
Throttur W 5
Fylkir W 0
Quarter-finals
Hafnarfjordur W 0
Thor/KA W 1
Breidablik W 5
Keflavik W 2
Grindavik W 0
Valur W 6
Afturelding W 1
Throttur W 4
Semi-finals
Thor/KA W 1
Breidablik W 2
Valur W 3
Throttur W 0
Final
Breidablik W 1
Valur W 2