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Akritas Chloraka vs Pafos Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Fernandez A.
14'
Sunjic I.
20' Event
Correia J.

AI Match Summary

Pafos in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pafos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Akritas Chloraka
20%
Draws
57%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pafos lately — more wins on the board than Akritas Chloraka.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pafos here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Akritas Chloraka Clean Sheet 14%
Pafos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akritas Chloraka Pafos
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cyprus League
Akritas Chloraka vs Pafos
0:4
Jan 7, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka
2:1
Dec 5, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka
4:0
Jan 17, 2023 Cyprus Cup
Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka
3:1
Dec 23, 2022 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Akritas Chloraka
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akritas Chloraka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sunjic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akritas Chloraka 19 / 100
Pafos 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akritas Chloraka Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Akritas Chloraka's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Pafos let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Akritas Chloraka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akritas Chloraka VS Pafos
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akritas Chloraka

(Home)
19 Sept
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 1
ASIL Lysi
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
14 Aug
Paralimni
2 : 3
Akritas Chloraka
15 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 2
AEL Limassol
09 May
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Akritas Chloraka
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Pafos

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 26 19 4 3 63:17 61
2 AEK Larnaca 26 16 5 5 49:22 53
3 Apollon Limassol 26 16 5 5 36:22 53
4 Pafos 26 16 3 7 53:24 51
5 APOEL 26 13 6 7 45:27 45
6 Aris Limassol 26 12 7 7 48:26 43
7 Omonia Aradippou 26 10 4 12 23:31 34
8 AEL Limassol 26 10 3 13 31:38 33
9 Anorthosis 26 7 11 8 23:33 32
10 Krasava 26 8 4 14 26:36 28
11 Ol. Nicosia 26 6 10 10 22:37 28
12 Akritas Chloraka 26 7 5 14 23:48 26
13 Achnas 26 7 2 17 25:44 23
14 Paralimni 26 0 1 25 5:67 1
Promotion - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)