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Akron Togliatti vs CSKA Moscow

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akron Togliatti play CSKA Moscow in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Akron Togliatti averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. CSKA Moscow averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Akron Togliatti won 1, CSKA Moscow won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Akron Togliatti and 1.25 for CSKA Moscow. This points to a CSKA Moscow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Akron Togliatti
15%
Draws
47%
CSKA Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Akron Togliatti picked up more points recently compared to CSKA Moscow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 19%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akron Togliatti CSKA Moscow
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs CSKA Moscow
1:2
Jan 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Akron Togliatti vs CSKA Moscow
1:3
Oct 21, 2025 Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
3:2
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
3:1
Aug 12, 2025 Russian Cup
Akron Togliatti vs CSKA Moscow
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akron Togliatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzyuba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CSKA Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Musaev T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moises
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akron Togliatti 38 / 100
CSKA Moscow 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akron Togliatti CSKA Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSKA Moscow or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Akron Togliatti attacking → ← attacking CSKA Moscow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akron Togliatti scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

CSKA Moscow let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Akron Togliatti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CSKA Moscow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 38
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88